Create a new google doc for you Hurricane CS:

Part 1:

Homework for Thursday: read Bishop p. 92 to 104 and the suggested readings below

IB outcomes:

Distinguish between the chosen hazards in terms of their spatial extent, predictability, frequency, magnitude, duration, speed of onset and effects.

Examine the relationships between the degree of risk posed by a hazard and the probability of a hazard event occurring, the predicted losses and a community’s preparedness for it.

Explain the reasons why individuals and communities often underestimate the probability of hazard events

occurring.

Discuss the factors that determine an individual’s perception of the risk posed by hazards.

Suggested readings:

 

Coriolis effect

Wait! According to this, shouldn’t Hurricanes spin clockwise in the Northern hemisphere and counter clockwise in the souther?

Comment on the pattern,  direction, magnitude, duration and spatial extent of hurricanes in 2008

Now have a look at Katrina!


Case study: Inside Hurricane Katrina

Questions: 

  1. With the use of an annotated graph, explain the formation of hurricanes [5]
  2. How informed about hurricane risk were the people in the areas affected by Katrina? [4]
  3. How did the level of knowledge vary between different demographic, political and socio-economic groups?  [2+2+2]
  4. Why did some people underestimate Katrina’s impact? [5]
  5. How accurate were the predictions of the  magnitude of Katrina? How did they achieve such predictions? [5]
  6. Attitudes: Explain two different attitude of the people towards the hurricane risk? [2+2]
  7. Attitudes: How did attitudes vary between different demographic, political and socio-economic groups? [3]
  8. Practices: Did people act in the most appropriate way given their knowledge about the risk posed by hurricanes? [4]
  9. Practices: How did actions vary between different demographic, political and socio-economic groups? [3]
  10. What is the relationship between the degree of risk posed by hurricanes in New Orleans and: [2+2+2]
    1. the probability of the hazard event to occur
    2. the predicted losses
    3. the community’s preparedness

We will discuss the answers together.

In Groups:

  • Examine the methods used to make estimates (predictions) of the probability (in time and space) of hazard events occurring, and of their potential impact on lives and property.
  • Discuss these methods by examining case studies relating to two different hazard types.

You will be divided in four groups.

You need to answer one of these questions:

  1. How do we make estimates (predictions) of the probability (in time and space) of earthquakes events occurring, and of their potential impact on lives and property.
  2. How do we make estimates (predictions) of the probability (in time and space) of hurricanes events occurring, and of their potential impact on lives and property.
  3. How did Japan make estimates (predictions) of the probability (in time and space) of 3/11 occurring, and of its potential impact on lives and property.
  4. How did the USA make estimates (predictions) of the probability (in time and space) of Hurricane Katrina occurring, and of its potential impact on lives and property.

You will present your answer in 20 minutes. Every group member must be a part of the presentation. No powerpoint.

Each group member must do one of the following throughout the presentation:

  • Sing
  • Mime
  • Dance
  • Draw